College Football Betting Recap: No Coverage For LSU, Two Top 10 Teams Get Run Over | Sports betting
Another week of college football is almost on the books, and it was another crazy one.
For almost everyone except LSU, of course.
The Tigers worked their way through a 27-14 win over UL-Monroe, dropping to 5-6 in Ed Orgeron’s final season without much fear, but never making it through to cover the gap of 29 points and falling to 4-5 -1 against the number this season.
But there was a lot of action elsewhere, and that includes in the world of sports betting.
Let’s go to the recap:
MICHIGAN STATE, OREGON CRASH: It’s not so much that the Spartans and Ducks lost and apologized for the College Football Playoff race. They were both underdogs on the road, after all.
It was the pathetic way they had done it. Or maybe we should just give all the credit to the opponents in question, Ohio State and Utah.
The Buckeyes led the Spartans 49-0 at halftime, the same score as No.1 Georgia led Charleston Southern in the same time window. In short, the state of Michigan was basically FCS forage that day. Both matches ended 56-7.
Then, eight hours later, Utah trampled on Oregon, benefiting from a boost from a fiery crowd and pushing their lead to 28-0 at halftime when the Ducks inexplicably pointed at Britain Covey des Utes in the last game of the half, and he took it 78 yards home. The game ended 38-7 and Oregon ended as a contender for the national championship.
HEISMAN HIJINKS: A Heisman Trophy race that seemed undefined so late in the season suddenly feels like you have incredible concentration.
It’s CJ Stroud of Ohio State versus Bryce Young of Alabama.
They were the favorites at the start of the day, with Young at +180 and Stroud at +250. And they both had amazing days as third pick Kenneth Walker of Michigan State was invisible.
Stroud had an incredible day, completing 32 of 35 passes for 432 yards and six touchdowns in the Buckeyes’ iconic win to date.
Young was almost as good in a close game as Alabama outlasted Arkansas 42-35. Young was 31 of 40 for 559 yards and five touchdowns.
Are you kidding with those numbers? If the vote had taken place between matches, Stroud could have received the trophy. Then Young made his best impression of Lee Corso with a “Not so fast, my friend.”
The new odds are available on Caesars Sportsbook, and as expected, this is a two-horse race: Stroud as a favorite -200 and Young at +170. The next closest are Walker’s quarterback and Ole Miss Matt Corral as 20/1 long shots.
Stories of the oppressed
There weren’t any huge underdog wins on Saturday – the closest call was Kansas, which was +900 at TCU and came back to tie the game late before losing 31-28 on a field goal .
Only two dogs with at least one touchdown won directly, and both games were in the SEC: South Carolina, a 7-point dog against Auburn, won 21-17, and Missouri, which closed +9 at Caesars against Florida, outscored the Gators 24-23 in overtime.
Mizzou gave up a touchdown on OT’s first possession, but then scored and got a 2-point conversion pass from Connor Bazelak to Daniel Parker for the win which took a +260 odds win.
Spread of whiplash
I am in dispute over the term “bad beats”. Yes, these are bad beats for some, but if you bet on the other side, these are welcome unexpected wins.
So we’re going to use the whiplash in this column. There were some good examples on Saturday:
WHAT ARE YOU DOING, MIKE LEACH? You have to be a really dedicated gamer to bet on the State of Tennessee rather than the State of Mississippi on a Saturday morning, but if you did, you were in great grief for your problem.
TSU was +44, the type of line you bet if you’re hoping for a dumpster touchdown and backdoor cover. Sure enough, the Tigers scored to reduce the Bulldogs’ lead to 52-10 with 3:03 left on a Micha Mitchell 5-yard touchdown run.
All you needed at this point was for Mississippi State to run out of time without accidentally breaking a long touchdown run. No problem, right?
Wrong. You forgot to take into account that Mike Leach is coaching in Starkville. Leach threw his alternate quarterback three passes, then kicked a basket with 27 seconds left.
Backdoor, meet the other backdoor. 55-10 final, Mississippi State covers.
CHARLIE BROWN TREATMENT FOR IOWA SUPPORTERS: This one was really a whiplash.
Iowa, a 12-point favorite, erased an early 10-0 deficit to take the lead at halftime and took it to 26-16 with a few field goals in the fourth quarter, the last with 1:55 to play.
The problem is, if you bet Iowa -12, you are running out of time.
But in a year of forced turnovers, the Hawkeyes have had another. Jack Campbell intercepted a pass and returned it for 32 yards for a touchdown and a 33-16 lead. A miracle for Iowa punters and a bad beat for those with the Illini.
Until it doesn’t. Illinois recovered the ball and restored the spread, leading 75 yards in 5 games and 1:05 and shooting to 33-23 with 31 seconds left. Illinois +12 covers after all.
Next week is rivalry week, the final week of the regular season, and always a huge Thanksgiving holiday full of gaming fun.
The big games start with the Egg Bowl Thursday night (think about it as you watch the Saints take on the Bills). The first lines have spread to the Ole Miss -2 neighborhood for the showdown in Starkville.
Then, on Saturday, Ohio State will face Michigan for a berth in the Big Ten title game and pole position for the CFP. First line in Ann Arbor: Ohio State -7½.
Both Oklahoma and the state of Oklahoma have CFP hopes, so the Bedlam game should be especially Bedlam-y. First line in Stillwater: Oklahoma -1.
And of course, there is the iron bowl. Alabama-Georgia are already ready for the SEC title, but Crimson Tide must beat their big rivals to stay in the CFP’s top four. First line in Auburn: Alabama -18½.